This article is live, meaning that all tables and figures (plots) are updated in real time as the data comes in.
There are many ways to use the selections provided here on this website. The primary option is a straight lay the draw bet. This has proved successful and yielded good profits and strong strike rates. Although, with lay odds of around 4 (3/1) a few bad results (i.e. draws) can neutralise an otherwise good month.
To go with the standard lay the draw is a lay the 0-0 result. This bet has a very high success rate but it also carries a high risk. With odds around 11 (10/1) or sometimes higher one loss can lead to a significant dent in your bank. Overall returns on level liability stakes are lower than the simple lay the draw, but if you prefer more regular winning bets this could be for you.
Below we discuss these two bet types in more detail along with alternative and slightly more complex staking strategies that yield higher profits overall.
Lay the draw.
There is a selection to bet on each day (more or less) and the data shown here is all to 1pt (liability) stakes on lay the draw. We try and get a lay the draw odds of around 4, meaning we need a strike rate of about 75% to break even.
This table & figure show the monthly results & cumulative profits for this simple lay the draw strategy.
As you can see there is consistent profits, but because we need high strike rates there is the potential for losses.
Lay the no-score draw (i.e. 0-0 result).
This strategy simply lays the 0-0 result. It is a correct score bet with high liabilities. On average we aim to lay the 0-0 result at odds of 11, meaning we make £0.095 (including betting commissions) for a £1 liability. This means we need a strike rate of approximately 91% to break even.
The strike rate for the lay the 0-0 result is high, but the returns are lower.
Below is a plot for £1 liability bets on the 0-0 result (assuming lay odds of 11).
Carry it over. Lay the draw multiples.
There is a new updated version of this staking strategy called the MAXIMIZER.
A way to potentially maximise returns is to carry over profits from one winning bet to the next one. Meaning your new stake will be higher but at the same time you never risk more than your original stake.
So for example, if bet#1 you stake £1 (liability) on lay the draw at odds of 4.
The bet wins you get £1.32 back after commissions, so 32p profit. Instead of pocketing this 32p you carry it over to the next bet, staking £1.32 this time.
If it loses you lose your original stake, which was £1.
If it wins you get £1.73 back, with an overall profit of 73p from your original £1 liability stake.
So, how far do you take this? Well after analysing the data high profits can be made by carrying your profits over 8 bets and taking your profits if the 8th is successful. After 8 winning bets (carrying over profits) you can pocket around £8 (only ever risking your original £1 liability stake).
8 game winning streaks sound a lot, which they are but they happen relatively often. The figure below shows potential profits if you were using this 8 game staking strategy.
Carry it over. Lay the 0-0 result multiples.
The exact same principle as the multiple bet above, except we are doing it with lay the 0-0 result. The optimum carry over length at the moment is 6 bets. So as before instead of banking our small profits from a winning lay the 0-0 result bet we carry it over. Only banking after 6 winning carry overs.
A single lay the 0-0 banks us around £0.095 from a £1 liability bet (assuming odds of 11). Carrying over the profits to 6 winning bets banks us £0.72 (still just risking our original £1).
The plot below shows profits when carrying over 6 bets on the lay the 0-0 result.
Following the selections made here will result in a profit when we look at all historical data. The amount of profit and the winning percentage depends on what strategy you choose. Below is a quick table to compare the 4 (now 5 including the MAXIMIZER) strategies discussed here. You can decide on what is your criteria. Is it profit and is it higher winning rates?
The multiples bets have significantly less pts staked compared to the standard lay bets. This means that you are effectively risking a lots less overall and the return on investment (ROI) is higher. This simply means you are returned a lot more per pt staked. A pt can be anything stake amount you like. It can be £1 or is can be £1000, just multiply up the data here to see potential profits.
Remember though, betting is gambling no matter how much data you present. While all data is accurate here and there is a profit at the end, you can see there were losing runs where if stakes were high could have resulted in significant losses before a profit was made.
Only every bet what you can afford to lose and we (Sports Trading) do not accept any responsibility for any profits or losses you make.